Do the numbers add up?

[Guest]

[garage]

I was looking in the price guide at the number of each update auto sold and there was some interesting trends.

Harry - 20 sales
Ron - 24 Sales
Tripple - 28 sales
Filch - 32 sales
Watson - 36 sales
Percy - 36 sales
Duel - 38 sales
Crabb - 40 sales
Dudley - 47 sales
Choir Conductor - 60 sales
Pansy - 61 Sales
Stan - 61 Sales

Does this means that the tripple auto is as rare as we think? If there are only 50 that would mean more than half have been sold.

As a comparison, if we take Crabb - and assume that there are 250 cards world wide that means only about 15% have been sold on ebay. Does this mean people are predominantly collecting this set and holding the cards?

[Anna]

Does this means that the tripple auto is as rare as we think? If there are only 50 that would mean more than half have been sold.

As a comparison, if we take Crabb - and assume that there are 250 cards world wide that means only about 15% have been sold on ebay. Does this mean people are predominantly collecting this set and holding the cards?

I think most people would rather have the individual autographs of the trio rather than the Triple, and that's why more of the Triples seem to be showing up on ebay.  Some collectors aren't collecting the update Watson auto either, because they already have hers from the first set.  I'm not sure if we have enough data here to contradict the reported 50 for number of Triples.

As to the lesser characters, maybe they are being traded off ebay and that's why they're not in the price guide.  Also many Yak Shakers have a tendency to only watch the top 4 autos.  I've noticed that when I enter auctions into the price guide, someone's already entered the auto for Dan, but none of the other autos from the same seller had been entered.  Maybe a lot of them just never got recorded.

[LikORish-Spider]

I have a feeling that some of the triple autos are resales. I believe this because some of the Pear Tree Leaf cards are resales as well. For example, PTL # 9 and # 20 were sold twice.

As a note, on # 9  the resale was for $569.00 more, but resale on # 20 went for $55.00 less.

Too bad that ARTBOX didn't number the cards after they came back from the artist signings.  

I hope they have the foresight to number future autograph cards. Let me laugh now.

[Rabb]

I'd say that the reason is definitely that everyone pays attention to the big autos and they're logged,while most of the other auto cards are sold unnoticed and quickly through BINs and from shops.I've bought most of the lower value POAU autos from shops for example,and I doubt that any of them were logged.
     I'd also agree that people will be tempted to sell their triple autos as they are so valuable and they'll want to cash in on them just now,and that people will also be reselling them meaning individual cards changing hands more than once.